تاثیر ارزش افزوده بخش های مختلف اقتصادی بر رشد اقتصادی استان ها در برنامه چهارم توسعه(با تاکید بر بخش کشاورزی) با استفاده از داده های تابلویی

نوع مقاله: علمی - پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 عضو هیئت علمی

2 دانشجو

چکیده

 اقتصاد کشور های جهان سوم از جمله کشور ما اغلب بر تولیدات کشاورزی متکی است و فعالیتهای کشاورزی هم، غالبا در روستاها انجام می شود.  برای بهبود بخشیدن به روشهای سنتی تولیدات کشاورزی و بهره برداری بهینه از زمین و منابع تولید و توزیع محصولات کشاورزی ، افزایش رشد اقتصادی و دست یابی به توسعه پایدار در این بخش در اقتصاد ایران باید توجه شود .لذا بدون درک صحییح از برنامه های توسعه و سند چشم انداز بیست ساله کشور نمی توان به اهداف اقتصادی بخصوص در بخش کشاورزی رسید . زیرا در دنیای امروز ضرورت توسعه یافتگی کشورها از دغدغه های اصلی محسوب شده، و بخش کشاورزی در بسیاری از کشورهای در حال توسعه بخش غالب اقتصاد ی تلقی می شود . با توجه به اهمیت  بخش کشاورزی در اقتصاد ایران این تحقیق انجام شده است در این مقاله ارزش افزوده  بخش های اقتصادی30 استان کشور را در دوره  زمانی برنامه چهارم توسعه(1388-1384) مورد بررسی قرار گرفته. نتایج الگو های اقتصاد سنجی  با استفاده از داده های تابلوی نشان  می دهد که رشد بخش کشاورزی در استان های کشور تاثیری مثبت و معنی داری بر رشد تولید ناخالص داخلی داشته است. بنابراین دولت باید در راستای دست یابی به اهداف کلان اقتصادیش به بخش کشاورزی توجه جدی داشته باشد .

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

The Impact of Economic Sectors’ Value Added on Economic Growth: The case of The Iranian Provinces During 4th Development Plan

چکیده [English]

The Economy of the Third World countries such as Iran is mostly dependent on agricultural product mainly produced in the farms. In order to improve the modes of traditional agricultural products and to optimize the use of land it is necessary to increase economic growth to achieve sustainable development in Iran. It should be noted that without paying attention on development as well as outlook plan the country cannot achieve its economic goals especially in agriculture sector. The present paper deals with the value added of the economic sectors in 30 provinces of Iran during the country’s 4th economic development plan (i.e. 2005-2009),The results based on the pane data regression estimation indicate that the growth of agricultural products have positive and significance impacts on the growth of the provinces GDP. Therefore, it is suggested that to achieve the macroeconomic goals in agriculture sector, the government must seriously concentrate on agricultural products.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Value Added
  • Economic Growth
  • Sustainable
  • Development Agriculture Sector
  • 4th economic plan
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