تاثیر مخارج نظامی بر رشد اقتصادی کشور های خاورمیانه:با استفاده از رهیافت گشتاوررهای تعمیم یافته(GMM)

نوع مقاله : علمی

نویسندگان

1 استادیار گروه افتصاد، دانشگاه بوعلی سینا، دانشکده اقتصاد و علوم اجتماعی، همدان، ایران

2 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد دانشگاه لرستان

چکیده

مقاله حاضر به بررسی اثر مخارج نظامی بر رشد اقتصادی 11 کشور خاورمیانه می‌پردازد. قرارگرفتن خاورمیانه در منطقه‌ای حساس و استراتژیک از یک‌سو و روند افزایشی مخارج نظامی کشورهای این منطقه از سویی دیگر، لزوم بررسی اثر مخارج نظامی بر رشد اقتصادی کشورهای این منطقه را مهم جلوه می‌دهد. مخارج نظامی می‌تواند هم دارای اثر مثبت و هم اثر منفی بر رشد اقتصادی باشد. در این راستا، از یک مدل سولوی تعمیم‌یافته (ارائه‌شده توسط نایت، لوئیزا و ویلانوا (1996)) طی دوره‌ی زمانی 2012-1988 استفاده شده است. یافته‌های این تحقیق با استفاده از تکنیک پانل پویا و روش گشتاورهای تعمیم یافته (GMM) نشان‌ دهنده اثر منفی هزینه‌های نظامی بر رشد اقتصادی کشورهای خاورمیانه است. بنابراین، هرچه تهدیدهای نظامی در خاورمیانه کاهش یابد و منطقه از ثبات سیاسی بیشتری برخوردار باشد، هزینه‌های توسعه اقتصادی جایگزین هزینه‌های نظامی خواهد شد و رشد اقتصادی بیش تری را برای کشورهای منطقه در بر خواهد داشت.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

The Effect of Military expenditures on Economic Growth in the Middle East Countries: Using Generalized Method of Moments (GMM)

نویسندگان [English]

  • mohammad Molaei 1
  • abolghasem golkhandan 2
2 lorestan university
چکیده [English]

The present paper examines the effect of military expenditures on economic growth in 11 Middle Eastern countries. Putting the Middle East in a sensitive and strategic area on the one hand and increasing the military expenditure of the countries of this region on the other hand, the need to examine the effect of military expenditures on the economic growth of the countries of the region is important. Military spending can have both a positive and negative effect on economic growth. In this regard, a generalized Solow model (provided by Knight, Loayza and Villanueva (1996) has been used during the period of 1988-2018. The findings of this study, using Dynamic Panel Technique and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM), indicate the negative effect of military expenditures on the economic growth of the Middle East countries. Therefore, as military threats in the Middle East are reduced and the region has more political stability, economic development costs will replace military spending and will generate more economic growth for the countries of the region.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Defense Expenses
  • Economic Growth
  • Augmented Solow Model
  • Middle East Countries
  • Generalized Method of Moments

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پژوهشنامه اقتصاد کلان Macroeconomics Research Letter
دوره 11، شماره 21
خرداد 1395
صفحه 13-31

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سابقه مقاله

  • تاریخ دریافت: 26 شهریور 1392
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 18 اسفند 1395
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 09 اسفند 1395

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