بررسی تأثیر فساد اداری بر نرخ تورم در کشورهای منتخب منطقه MENA

حیدری, حسن; اصغری, رعنا; علی نژاد, رقیه

doi:10.22080/iejm.2017.5682.1331

بررسی تأثیر فساد اداری بر نرخ تورم در کشورهای منتخب منطقه MENA

نوع مقاله : علمی

نویسندگان

¹ دانشیار گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه ارومیه

² کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی دانشگاه ارومیه

10.22080/iejm.2017.5682.1331

چکیده

مطالعه حاضر با هدف بررسی تأثیر فساد اداری بر نرخ تورم در کشورهای منتخب منطقه خاورمیانه و شمال آفریقا (MENA) طی دوره زمانی 2013-1996، با تأکید بر نقش مخارج مصرفی دولت، شکلی از مدل پایه ارائه شده در مطالعات المرحوبی (2000)، ویندلین و هیلمن (2007) و دمیر و پراکسا (2011) را به‌کار گرفته است. نتایج حاصل از برآورد مدل رگرسیونی انتقال ملایم تابلویی (PSTR)، قویاً با رد فرضیه خطی بودن، یک مدل دو رژیمی با اندازه آستانه‌ای 26/1- را برای شاخص کنترل فساد در کشورهای تحت بررسی پیشنهاد می‌نماید. هسته یافته‌ها حاکی از منفی بودن اثر کنترل فساد، تولید ناخالص داخلی سرانه و شاخص باز بودن اقتصاد بر نرخ تورم و شدت یافتن این اثر در مقادیر بالاتر از حد آستانه‌ای محاسبه‌شده برای شاخص کنترل فساد می‌باشد. هم‌چنین در این مطالعه، نتایج حاصل از اکثر مطالعات صورت‌گرفته مبنی بر مثبت بودن اثر مخارج مصرفی دولت و نقدینگی و نیز منفی بودن اثر شاخص کنترل فساد، تولید ناخالص داخلی سرانه و شاخص باز بودن اقتصاد بر نرخ تورم به تأیید می‌رسد. بطوریکه با افزایش کنترل فساد و در واقع کاهش فساد اداری، شدت اثر منفی کنترل فساد بر تورم، افزایش می‌یابد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigation of the Impact of Corruption on Inflation Rate in Selected MENA Countries

نویسندگان [English]

hasan heydari ¹
rana Asghari ²
roghayeh alinejad ²

چکیده [English]

This study investigates the impact of corruption on inflation rate in selected MENA countries over the 1996-2013. We apply base model presented by Al-Marhubi (2000), Vindelynand Hillman (2007) and Damir and Praksa (2011) named the non-linear Panel Smooth Transition Regression model. The estimation results of non-linear Panel Smooth Transition Regression model (PSTR) strongly reject the linearity hypothesis, and estimates two regimes that gives a threshold at corruption of -1.26 for under review countries. The key results show that the effect of the corruption, GDP per capita and openness is negative and show the intensity of them are high in high levels of calculated threshold for corruption. Other results of this research about the impact of government expenditure on inflation rate report thata positive effects existence between government consumption expenditure, liquidity and inflation rate. Moreover, the results of many done studies about positive effects of government consumption expenditure and liquidity and also negative effects of control of corruption index, gross domestic product per capita (GDP per capita) and openness (or exporting as theopenness index) on inflation rate are confirmed in this study. As the intensity of negative effect of control of corruption on inflation rate increasing simultaneous with increasing control of corruption.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

Corruption
Inflation Rate
Government Consumption Expenditure
Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model (PSTR)

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