Document Type : Scientific paper
Authors
1
Ph.D. Student in Demography, Department of Social Sciences, Yazd University, Yazd, Iran.
2
Associate Professor , Department of Social Sciences, Yazd Univesity.
3
Associate Professor of Economics, Institute for Management and Planning Studies, Tehran, Iran.
4
Assistant Professor, National Institute of Population Studies, Tehran, Iran
5
Assistant Professor in Economics, Department of Economics, Management and Accounting, Yazd University, Yazd, Iran
Abstract
Propellants and effective variables on the future of Labor supply in Iran's labor market with a combined Delphi approach and structural analysis
Abstract
The present research has been carried out with the present of identifying and structurally analyzing the mutual influence of variables and effective drivers on the labor supply in the labor market of Iran in the horizon of 2061. so, in the beginning, through library research and survey of sources and documents in the background of the issue, a number of variables were identified, and so on key variables were determined through interviews with experts and the implementation of the Delphi method and the cross impact analysis questionnaire was designed and completed with the establishment expert panel (consisting of 12 experts in the context of the labor market). By means of MICMAC software, the degree of influence and effectiveness of each of the identified variables was evaluated and accordingly, It was concluded that variables such as age structure, social pressure, per capita income, marital status, immigration, death rate, gross national product, education cost and household cost have the greatest influence on the supply of human resources in Iran's labor market,and variables such as economic conditions (inflation and recession), payroll and government policies are key and propellant factors.
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